WorldDeadline 09/15/2026stale

Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 7 at 9:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Probability state

38%
-0.5 pts / 24h
/ 7d
Source probability · Polymarket1 sourceConfidence: LowNo cross-source comparison available

Why did this move?

Market signal only · Market signal only

No verified catalyst identified. The probability changed in the market, but Omeyr has not verified the cause.

Observed market facts

  • Observed probability decrease of about 0.5 pts in the selected window.
  • Reported 24-hour volume about $226,903.

Limitations

  • High absolute volume is not classified as unusual without a historical baseline.
  • Do not treat market activity as news attribution.

The probability decreased by about 0.5 pts over the past 24 hours. This is an observed market fact — not a news attribution.

Evidence timeline

No verified catalyst. omeyr does not invent news, filings, or posts.

No curated impact chain for this event yet.

Probability

Loading…

Source & Resolution

Primary listing

Polymarket
Primary listing
Original source text: Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Deadline 09/15/2026
38%
stale · $605.0K
View on Polymarket
Resolution rules

Original source text

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 7 at 9:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

What could change this?

Potential future catalysts — not observed evidence.

  • Official policy or regulatory announcement
  • Primary-source confirmation from involved parties
  • Material data release tied to the resolution criteria

Venue listing: /market/mlb-cin-lad-2026-09-07