WorldDeadline 10/23/2026Expired

Nuggets vs. Thunder

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 22 at 9:30PM ET: If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Probability state

44%
+17 pts / 24h
— / 7d
Source probability · Polymarket1 sourceConfidence: LowExpiredNo cross-source comparison available

Why did this move?

Market signal only · Market signal only

No verified catalyst identified. The probability changed in the market, but Omeyr has not verified the cause.

Observed market facts

  • Observed probability increase of about 17 pts in the selected window.
  • Reported 24-hour volume about $2,982,758.

Limitations

  • High absolute volume is not classified as unusual without a historical baseline.
  • Do not treat market activity as news attribution.

The probability increased by about 17 pts over the past 24 hours. This is an observed market fact — not a news attribution.

Evidence timeline

No verified catalyst. omeyr does not invent news, filings, or posts.

No curated impact chain for this event yet.

Probability

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Source & Resolution

Primary listing

Polymarket
Primary listing
Original source text: Nuggets vs. Thunder
Deadline 10/23/2026
44%
recent · $145.3K
View on Polymarket
Resolution rules

Original source text

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 22 at 9:30PM ET: If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

What could change this?

Potential future catalysts — not observed evidence.

  • Official policy or regulatory announcement
  • Primary-source confirmation from involved parties
  • Material data release tied to the resolution criteria

Venue listing: /market/nba-den-okc-2026-10-22