Oil > $100
Crude oil trading above $100 per barrel on a major benchmark.
No live probability
No live probability source is currently attached. omeyr tracks this node because it is structurally relevant to other futures.
Confidence: Low · Knowledge only
Why did this move?
No recent change · No recent change
No meaningful probability change was detected in the selected period.
Limitations
- Insufficient market activity history to characterize volume.
- Without a meaningful move, omeyr does not invent an explanation.
No live probability is attached to this node right now.
Evidence timeline
No verified catalyst. omeyr does not invent news, filings, or posts.
Related Futures
Upstream drivers
- may increase the probability of Hormuz closure
Why are these connected?
Hormuz disruption historically tightens oil supply and supports higher prices. Curated structural link.
Downstream effects
- may increase the probability of US inflation > 4%
Why are these connected?
Energy spikes feed into measured inflation with a lag. Curated structural link — magnitude uncertain.
What could change this?
Potential future catalysts — not observed evidence.
- Supply shock confirmation
- OPEC+ output cut
asOf 2026-09-07T18:25:04Z · resolver v4