WorldDeadline 09/14/2026recent

US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Botic van de Zandschulp in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Arthur Gea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Probability state

41%
/ 24h
/ 7d
Source probability · Polymarket1 sourceConfidence: LowNo cross-source comparison available

Why did this move?

No recent change · No recent change

No meaningful probability change was detected in the selected period.

Observed market facts

  • Reported 24-hour volume about $357,406.

Limitations

  • High absolute volume is not classified as unusual without a historical baseline.
  • Without a meaningful move, omeyr does not invent an explanation.

Held steady over the past 24 hours — no meaningful probability change was detected.

Evidence timeline

No verified catalyst. omeyr does not invent news, filings, or posts.

No curated impact chain for this event yet.

Probability

Loading…

Source & Resolution

Primary listing

Polymarket
Primary listing
Original source text: US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp
Deadline 09/14/2026
41%
recent · $599.5K
View on Polymarket
Resolution rules

Original source text

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Botic van de Zandschulp in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Arthur Gea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What could change this?

Potential future catalysts — not observed evidence.

  • Official policy or regulatory announcement
  • Primary-source confirmation from involved parties
  • Material data release tied to the resolution criteria

Venue listing: /market/atp-gea-zandsch-2026-09-07