WorldDeadline 09/13/2026recent

US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Alexander Blockx in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Alexander Blockx. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Blockx' if Alexander Blockx advances against Francisco Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Probability state

65%
+24 pts / 24h
/ 7d
Source probability · Polymarket1 sourceConfidence: LowNo cross-source comparison available

Why did this move?

Market signal only · Market signal only

No verified catalyst identified. The probability changed in the market, but Omeyr has not verified the cause.

Observed market facts

  • Observed probability increase of about 24 pts in the selected window.
  • Reported 24-hour volume about $2,350,710.

Limitations

  • High absolute volume is not classified as unusual without a historical baseline.
  • Do not treat market activity as news attribution.

The probability increased by about 24 pts over the past 24 hours. This is an observed market fact — not a news attribution.

Evidence timeline

No verified catalyst. omeyr does not invent news, filings, or posts.

No curated impact chain for this event yet.

Probability

Loading…

Source & Resolution

Primary listing

Polymarket
Primary listing
Original source text: US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx
Deadline 09/13/2026
65%
recent · $86.2K
View on Polymarket
Resolution rules

Original source text

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Alexander Blockx in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Alexander Blockx. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Blockx' if Alexander Blockx advances against Francisco Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What could change this?

Potential future catalysts — not observed evidence.

  • Official policy or regulatory announcement
  • Primary-source confirmation from involved parties
  • Material data release tied to the resolution criteria

Venue listing: /market/atp-cerundo-blockx-2026-09-06