ElectionsDeadline 01/08/2045stale

Will become President of the United States before 2045?

If Nick Fuentes becomes President of the United States before Jan 1, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.

Probability state

15%
-1 pts / 24h
/ 7d
Source probability · Kalshi1 sourceConfidence: LowNo cross-source comparison available

Why did this move?

No verified catalyst identified · No verified catalyst identified

No verified catalyst identified. The probability changed in the market, but Omeyr has not verified the cause.

Observed market facts

  • Observed probability decrease of about 1 pts in the selected window.

Limitations

  • Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence — the pipeline may simply lack coverage.

The probability decreased by about 1 pts over the past 24 hours. This is an observed market fact — not a news attribution.

Evidence timeline

No verified catalyst. omeyr does not invent news, filings, or posts.

No curated impact chain for this event yet.

Probability

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Source & Resolution

Primary listing

Kalshi
Primary listing
Original source text: Will become President of the United States before 2045?
Deadline 01/08/2045
15%
stale · $0.00
View on Kalshi
Resolution rules

Original source text

If Nick Fuentes becomes President of the United States before Jan 1, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.

What could change this?

Potential future catalysts — not observed evidence.

  • Official policy or regulatory announcement
  • Primary-source confirmation from involved parties
  • Material data release tied to the resolution criteria

Venue listing: /market/kxpersonpresfuentes-45