WorldDeadline 01/01/2070stale

Will working be necessary in 2070?

Probability state

27%
— / 24h
— / 7d
Source probability · Manifold1 sourceConfidence: LowNo cross-source comparison available

Why did this move?

No recent change · No recent change

No meaningful probability change was detected in the selected period.

Limitations

  • Without a meaningful move, omeyr does not invent an explanation.

Held steady over the past 24 hours — no meaningful probability change was detected.

Evidence timeline

No verified catalyst. omeyr does not invent news, filings, or posts.

No curated impact chain for this event yet.

Probability

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Source & Resolution

Primary listing

Manifold
Primary listing
Original source text: Will working be necessary in 2070?
Deadline 01/01/2070
27%
stale · $2.2K
View on Manifold
Resolution rules

Original source text

No resolution rules attached.

What could change this?

Potential future catalysts — not observed evidence.

  • Official policy or regulatory announcement
  • Primary-source confirmation from involved parties
  • Material data release tied to the resolution criteria

Venue listing: /market/manifold-will-working-be-necessary-in-2070