Market signal only · Market signal only
No verified catalyst identified. The probability changed in the market, but Omeyr has not verified the cause.
Observed market facts
Limitations
The probability increased by about 59.5 pts over the past 24 hours. This is an observed market fact — not a news attribution.
No verified catalyst. omeyr does not invent news, filings, or posts.
No curated impact chain for this event yet.
Potential future catalysts — not observed evidence.
Original source text
This market refers to the tennis match between Ariana Arseneault and Katherine Sebov in the W75 Saguenay, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Arseneault' if Ariana Arseneault advances against Katherine Sebov. This market will resolve to 'Katherine Sebov' if Katherine Sebov advances against Ariana Arseneault. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.