No verified catalyst identified · No verified catalyst identified
No verified catalyst identified. The probability changed in the market, but Omeyr has not verified the cause.
Observed market facts
Limitations
The probability increased by about 4 pts over the past 24 hours. This is an observed market fact — not a news attribution.
No verified catalyst. omeyr does not invent news, filings, or posts.
No curated impact chain for this event yet.
Potential future catalysts — not observed evidence.
Original source text
If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.