No verified catalyst identified · No verified catalyst identified
No verified catalyst identified. The probability changed in the market, but Omeyr has not verified the cause.
Observed market facts
Limitations
The probability decreased by about 0.1 pts over the past 24 hours. This is an observed market fact — not a news attribution.
No verified catalyst. omeyr does not invent news, filings, or posts.
No curated impact chain for this event yet.
Potential future catalysts — not observed evidence.
Original source text
If a supervolcano erupts before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.