No recent change · No recent change
No meaningful probability change was detected in the selected period.
Limitations
Held steady over the past 24 hours — no meaningful probability change was detected.
No verified catalyst. omeyr does not invent news, filings, or posts.
No curated impact chain for this event yet.
Potential future catalysts — not observed evidence.
Original source text
If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is Itamar Ben-Gvir, then the market resolves to Yes.