No recent change · No recent change
No meaningful probability change was detected in the selected period.
Limitations
Held steady over the past 24 hours — no meaningful probability change was detected.
No verified catalyst. omeyr does not invent news, filings, or posts.
No curated impact chain for this event yet.
Potential future catalysts — not observed evidence.
Original source text
If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.