No verified catalyst identified · No verified catalyst identified
No verified catalyst identified. The probability changed in the market, but Omeyr has not verified the cause.
Observed market facts
Limitations
The probability increased by about 6 pts over the past 24 hours. This is an observed market fact — not a news attribution.
No verified catalyst. omeyr does not invent news, filings, or posts.
No curated impact chain for this event yet.
Potential future catalysts — not observed evidence.
Original source text
If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.