Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?

Probability state

Why did this move?

No recent change · No recent change

No meaningful probability change was detected in the selected period.

Held steady over the past 24 hours — no meaningful probability change was detected.

Evidence timeline

No verified catalyst. omeyr does not invent news, filings, or posts.

Related Futures

No curated impact chain for this event yet.

What could change this?

Potential future catalysts — not observed evidence.

• Official policy or regulatory announcement
• Primary-source confirmation from involved parties
• Material data release tied to the resolution criteria

Source & Resolution