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Data Explorer

Underlying venue market listings used as evidence for omeyr events. Volume units are never mixed across venues.

AllPolymarketKalshiManifoldEconomicsElectionsScience and TechnologyFinancialsClimate and WeatherPoliticsSports

Climate and Weather

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?

30%
Kalshi-1 pts 24HVol $1.00Liq —Updated 20 seconds ago

When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050

32%
Kalshi0 pts 24HVol $0.00Liq —Updated 7 months ago

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

67%
Kalshi0 pts 24HVol $0.00Liq —Updated 7 months ago

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Probability history

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Data health query failed: Failed query: select count("id"), max("observed_at") from "observations" params:

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